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Kyoto Review - International

•Three main groups of countries

–Developed with little growth – Europe

–Developed with growth potential – USA, Russia, Canada

–Developing – no commitment goal

•Kyoto depends on Russia or USA ratification

•USA has officially dropped out - but

•Russian ratification in doubt – but

•Implementation unlikely – Goals will not be met

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	Participants in the National Climate Change Process received considerable feedback from government officials.
	It seemed three groups of countries with conflicting interests were not able to reconcile their differences.
	One group, mainly European, seemed fully developed with fairly static population and a mature relatively slowly growing economy.
	Another group, deemed developed, is actually still in growth mode. These countries included the United States, Russia and Canada.
	The Kyoto protocol imposed similar levels of greenhouse gas reduction on all of the developed countries.
	The developing countries, which include China and India, were not asked to set goals for emissions reduction in deference to their small per capita greenhouse emissions. Kyoto assumes those countries need fossil fuel to jump-start needed economic growth.
	Either Russia or the United States must ratify Kyoto to put it into effect. The US realized early it would interfere with economic growth, and citing unfair concessions to developing countries, has rejected ratification.
	Russia is getting cold feet too, as her growth is quicker than expected when Kyoto was signed.
	Implementation of Kyoto is unlikely. It is even more unlikely that its emission reduction goals will be reached.